Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking the field against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Tuesday night game. The game will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on ATPT and FSSE.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Las Vegas has Atlanta (-145) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+135). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. There’s a runline of Pirates +1.5 (-160) and Braves -1.5 (+140) for this matchup.
The Pirates have gone 30-35 SU this year and are 32-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 6.0 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 37-29 SU and 31-34 ATS. The team has gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.4 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 34-26-5 thus far in 2019. The Pirates have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 36-26-2.
Chris Archer will get the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Archer (3-5, 5.20 ERA) has recorded 53 strikeouts in 53.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Foltynewicz (1-5, 5.89 ERA), who’s got 37 punchouts and nine walks this season as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Foltynewicz is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.63, along with a K-per-9 of 9.72.
Pirates hitters have slashed .256/.315/.407 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte. Bell is slashing .324/.388/.660 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Marte (.289/.329/.477) has produced nine homers, 30 RBIs, 38 runs and 11 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.26 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.26 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .258/.357/.478 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is hitting .311/.401/.598 with 18 home runs, 43 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .277/.360/.488 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs, 41 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Pirates have gained 3.7 units and are 24-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.5 units and are 23-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.
Pirates vs. Braves Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Pittsburgh has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Atlanta has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Pittsburgh defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
- The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .739 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .778 overall and .757 against righties.
