Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL matchup and the game is slated to get going at 3:40 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas has listed Pittsburgh (+130) as the underdog to Arizona (-140). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 37-29 SU and 34-31 ATS. They’ve gained 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Pirates have gone 32-35 SU this year and are 29-37 ATS. In total, the teams lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Neither team has established itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 31-32-2 thus far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 31-29-6.

The right-handed Jameson Taillon will get the start for Pittsburgh. Taillon is 3-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (5-4, 3.53 ERA, 1.10 WHIP), who has 83 punchouts and 13 walks. Greinke only made one start against the Pirates in 2017 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and 11 strikeouts across eight innings).

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.60, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Pirates hitters have slashed .253/.327/.414 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is slashing .311/.344/.466 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Marte (.286/.340/.475) has produced eight homers, 30 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starting pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.55, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 7.9.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 7.3 per game over its last 10 games and 10.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .306/.399/.589 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Diamondbacks offense this year. Peralta is slashing .275/.336/.476 with 11 home runs, 32 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line sits at .258/.369/.504 with 12 homers, 31 RBIs and 45 runs.

The Pirates have lost 0.9 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.9 units and are 20-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.