Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will be squaring off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This NL matchup starts at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATPT and FSSD.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Odds

The Padres are just 36-48 straight up (SU) and 41-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.1 units (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 39-42 SU and have gone 36-44 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 37-44-2 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 37-36-7.

Trevor Williams will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Williams is 6-5 with a 4.03 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres will send lefty Joey Lucchesi (3-3, 3.57 ERA) to the mound. Lucchesi has 55 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Lucchesi hasn’t faced the Pirates yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.58, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.49 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .231/.285/.318 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Padres offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .277/.351/.440 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Pirela’s line is .259/.306/.346 with 80 hits, 25 RBIs and 43 runs.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.16 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.22, along with a K/9 of 9.59.

Pirates hitters have slashed .249/.321/.401 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offense has been sparked by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte, who’ve collectively launched 14 home runs. Dickerson is slashing .297/.333/.438 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Marte (.269/.321/.448) is up to nine homers, 34 RBIs, 43 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Pirates have lost 5.3 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 3.8 units and are 32-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • San Diego has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit five home runs over their last 10 games.