The Pittsburgh Pirates will take the field against their division rival Milwaukee Brewers in a Saturday night game. The matchup is going to be televised across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Pittsburgh (+180) is coming into this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-190) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Pirates +1.5 runs (-125) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+105).
The Brewers are 43-39 straight up (SU) and 38-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. The Pirates have gone 39-41 SU this year and are 40-39 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 3.7 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 6.3 units ATS.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 36-42-3 so far in 2019. Pirates games have gone over 46 times, gone under 29 times and pushed on four occasions.
The right-handed Jordan Lyles is the projected starter for the visiting Pirates. Lyles (5-3, 3.64 ERA) has racked up 66 strikeouts in 64.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers are countering with Brandon Woodruff (9-2, 4.01 ERA). Woodruff has 114 strikeouts and 25 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Woodruff is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and an 8.10 ERA over two starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.02 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 33 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.25.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .239/.295/.417 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .330/.422/.709 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 steals, while the line for Moustakas stands at .279/.353/.578 with 23 homers, 49 RBIs and 50 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.88 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.04, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K/9 of 9.75.
Pirates hitters have slashed .265/.324/.427 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is hitting .307/.379/.637 with 22 home runs, 70 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Marte (.273/.317/.468) has produced 12 homers, 39 RBIs, 49 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Pirates have gained 3.6 units and are 30-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 3.4 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 27 which went under the total.
Pirates at Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .751 this season and an OPS of .768 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .778 overall and .779 against righties.
- The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Milwaukee has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.2 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 games.
