Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the matchup and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-120) is hosting this one as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+110) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-190) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+165).

The Brewers are 72-58 straight up (SU) and 66-63 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 9.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.3 units (ATS). The Pirates, on the other hand, are 63-66 SU and have gone 61-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 60-65-4 in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 58-62-8.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon is projected to start for the visiting Bucs. Taillon is 9-9 with a 3.58 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.81 ERA against Milwaukee this year (three starts).

The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Jhoulys Chacin (13-4, 3.58 ERA), who’s got 122 strikeouts and 55 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Chacin is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 1.53 ERA across three starts against Pittsburgh this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.92, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 53 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.

Milwaukee’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .298/.380/.461 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Christian Yelich has helped lead the Brewers’ offense this year with 22 home runs, 66 RBIs, 88 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.08, along with a K/9 of 9.59.

The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.321/.408 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Corey Dickerson has led Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is hitting .304/.334/.475 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Brewers just snuck away with the previous game in the series by a final score of seven runs to six.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit three home runs in their last 10 games, including two over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 26.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.