The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on either ATPT or FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
The Reds are 30-22 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 25-29 straight up (SU). The team has lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Pirates have gone 26-26 SU this year and are 27-23 ATS. In total, the club has gained 3.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 20-31-1 so far in 2019. The Pirates have been a decent over bet with a total record of 28-21-1.
The right-handed Jordan Lyles is getting the start for Pittsburgh. Lyles is 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are giving Lucas Sims a chance to show what he’s got. This will be the first MLB start of the season for the right-handed Sims.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 24 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.09 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .350/.414/.557 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Reds’ offense this year. Suarez is hitting .279/.351/.553 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .306 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.74 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.61, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 9.94.
Pirates hitters have slashed .248/.308/.394 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been fueled by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera, who’ve collectively belted 20 home runs. Bell is slashing .340/.408/.711 with 17 home runs, 48 RBIs and 39 runs scored. Cabrera (.333/.372/.456) has produced three homers, 16 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 5.2 units and are 19-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.9 units and are 20-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.
Pirates at Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in six of Pittsburgh’s last seven outings.
- Each team has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .703 this season and an OPS of .715 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .709 overall and .699 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.0 over its last five.
