The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to take the field against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in the 1 game of their divisional doubleheader. The game will start at 1:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+190) as the dog to Cincinnati (-210). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -115 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and -105 for the Reds -1.5.
The Reds are 29-22 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 24-28 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates are 25-25 SU and have gone 27-22 ATS. In total, the club has gained 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 19-31-1 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 27-21-1.
Nick Kingham will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Kingham is 1-1 with an 8.76 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Luis Castillo (5-1, 2.38 ERA, 1.04 WHIP), who’s got 78 strikeouts and 28 walks. Castillo is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.62, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 22 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.
Cincinnati’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .313/.387/.500 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Reds’ batters this year. Suarez is hitting .274/.347/.553 with 14 home runs, 37 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .307/.335/.422 with three homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.92 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.62, along with a K/9 of 10.00.
Pirates hitters have slashed .247/.306/.392 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera, who collectively have blasted 19 home runs. Bell is hitting .339/.407/.704 with 16 home runs, 47 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Cabrera (.331/.367/.458) has produced three homers, 16 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 6.2 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.9 units and are 20-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 23 which went under the total.
Pirates vs. Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .698 this season and an OPS of .710 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .701 overall and .689 against righties.
- The Pirates have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.8 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games.
