Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction

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The Phoenix Suns (4-16), 11-point underdogs, will have their hands full against the league’s top shooting defense when they square off with the Los Angeles Clippers (13-6) at Staples Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds

In the Clippers’ last matchup, they topped the Portland Trail Blazers, 104-100, as 4-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 109-104, and were unable to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game went 23.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5, while the Phoenix game went 8.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.

The Clippers had a much better free throw rate (0.256 vs. 0.082) and had a turnover percentage of 3.7 (better than their season average of 12.2). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 15.2). Tobias Harris had a solid performance for Los Angeles, recording 34 points and 11 rebounds. Phoenix, meanwhile, rallied around Deandre Ayton, who put up 18 points and 12 rebounds.

The Clippers dominated this series last year, securing victories in all four games. In the most recent contest, Los Angeles won 111-99. The Clippers’ 26.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Suns, who had a mark of 18.4. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Suns games, with 10 unders compared to 9 overs. Phoenix heads into the game with records of 4-16 straight up (SU) and 8-11 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Clippers are involved, as 63.2 percent of their games have gone over the projected point total. Further, Los Angeles owns records of 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS.

Montrezl Harrell has been playing at a high level as of late for Los Angeles, averaging 19 points,9.4 rebounds,1.4 steals,1.4 blocks over the last five games.

The physical Los Angeles offense could be living from the charity stripe in this battle. The Clippers rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.272, while Phoenix is among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 27th-ranked FTA rate of 0.237). ,

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 17 in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while the Clippers rank 27 (25.36842105263158).
  • Los Angeles averages 52.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Phoenix ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.5).
  • The Clippers rank 10th in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Suns rank 28th (25.6).
  • Los Angeles ranks 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4) while Phoenix ranks 29th (20.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks 15 in fast break points allowed per game (13.842105263157896) while Phoenix ranks 27 (17.75).
  • The Suns rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Clippers rank 27th (6.5).
  • The Suns rank 16 in steals per game (7.5) while the Clippers rank 29 (5.842105263157895).
  • Los Angeles ranks 20 in second chance points per game (12.842105263157896) while Phoenix ranks 28 (9.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks ninth in rebounds per game (46.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th (40.0).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 2-0 and Phoenix is 1-0.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Suns are 4-10 and the Clippers are 13-5.
  • Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-7 ATS on the road.
  • In 10 road games, the Suns have 6 overs and 4 unders.
  • The Clippers have 6 overs and 3 unders in 9 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Clippers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 4.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (2.8 above their season average).