Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Prediction 12/17/19

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A nine-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Los Angeles Clippers (20-8) when they square off with the Phoenix Suns (11-15) at Staples Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 17, 2019, and will air on NBATV.

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds

Both teams lost a close one in their last outing. The Suns (2-point underdogs) were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 111-110, while the Clippers (3.5-point favorites) fell to the Chicago Bulls, 109-106. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Phoenix game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Los Angeles game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.

Phoenix had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 19.7) while Los Angeles did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (26-36; 72.2 percent). Montrezl Harrell played well for Los Angeles with 30 points and seven rebounds. Ricky Rubio, meanwhile played a huge role in the victory for Phoenix, registering 10 points, 14 assists and 11 rebounds on his way to his zeroth triple-double this year.

In their first matchup this year, Devin Booker led the Suns to a 130-122 victory. He scored a game-high 30 points. The two teams combined to score 252 points, which was well over the projected point total of 225, and Phoenix covered as a 10-point underdog. Phoenix’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Los Angeles. The Suns had a rate of 0.599 while the Clippers posted a mark of 0.523.

Of the Suns’ 25 games that accepted bets, 15 have finished over the total. Phoenix holds records of 11-15 straight up (SU) and 14-10-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Phoenix, Clippers games have typically finished under the total (57.1 percent). Moreover, Los Angeles is 20-8 SU and 15-12-1 ATS.

The Suns’ Rubio has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 17 points,12.6 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Paul George has averaged 27 points,6.4 rebounds,4.2 assists,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Clippers.

The physical Los Angeles offense looks poised to dominate from the free throw line. The Clippers currently rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.236, while Phoenix ranks 28th in FTA rate allowed (0.234).

Suns at Clippers Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 14th in steals per game (7.8) while the Clippers rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks first in second chance points per game (15.4) while Phoenix ranks 24th (12.0).
  • The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while the Clippers rank 24th (34.9).
  • Los Angeles averages 48.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Phoenix ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.8).
  • Phoenix ranks 11th in fast break points per game (14.1) while Los Angeles ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
  • The Clippers rank second in rebounds per game (48.7) while the Suns rank 25th in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
  • The Clippers rank 11th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Suns rank 27th (4.0).
  • Phoenix ranks third in points off turnovers per game (20.1) while Los Angeles ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
  • Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.5) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (23.0).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 9-0 and Phoenix is 2-2.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Clippers are 18-4 and the Suns are 11-13.
  • Los Angeles is 9-4-1 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 7-3 ATS on the road.
  • The Suns have 6 unders and 4 overs in 10 road games.
  • The Clippers have 9 unders and 5 overs in 14 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Phoenix and Los Angeles have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Clippers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 3-1-1.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 117.4 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
  • The Suns have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Phoenix has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.