Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction

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The Phoenix Suns (1-1), 12.5-point underdogs, will be at ORACLE Arena to go head-to-head with the Golden State Warriors (2-1) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, October 22, 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last outing. The Warriors (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 100-98, while the Suns (10.5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 119-91. The Golden State game finished 20.5 points under the projected point total of 218.5, while the Phoenix game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 224.5.

Phoenix had a better free throw rate (0.286 vs. 0.282) while Golden State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.442). Golden State’s Kevin Durant played well, contributing 20 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. Devin Booker played a key role for Phoenix with 25 points and seven assists.

Golden State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while Phoenix ranks 30th in defensive efficiency since last season. ,

Since last season, the Suns have had records of 22-62 straight up (SU) and 41-41-2 against the spread (ATS). Games involving Phoenix have finished over the O/U total 58.3 percent of the time since last season.

The Warriors, meanwhile, have records of 60-25 SU and 51-47-3 ATS since last season. Golden State’s games have gone under the O/U total 53.5 percent of the time over that same stretch.

The Warriors dominated this series last year, winning all four games. In the last contest, Golden State won 117-100. Golden State made 13 of its 32 three pointers (40.6 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (18.2 vs. 12.2).

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Suns rank 10th in points in the paint per game (45.8) while the Warriors rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Phoenix ranks last (5.9).
  • The Warriors average 17.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Suns rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • Golden State averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • Phoenix ranks 13th in second chance points per game (12.7) while Golden State ranks 28th (10.6).
  • The Warriors average 18.7 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Suns rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • The Warriors rank ninth in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while the Suns rank 28th (45.9).
  • Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.5) while Phoenix ranks 27th (21.4).
  • Phoenix is 8-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 23-7.
  • The Suns are 17-36 when they score above 100 points, while the Warriors are 72-17.