The Phoenix Suns (18-39) and the Golden State Warriors (43-13) square off at ORACLE Arena. The Suns will try to snap their five-game losing streak. Action starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 12, 2018, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Suns were beaten by the Denver Nuggets in their last game, 123-113. Phoenix’s Josh Jackson contributed 20 points, seven rebounds and five assists in the contest. Denver did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (20-22; 90.9 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, held the Nuggets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.6 (below their season average of 26.2).
In the Warriors last matchup, they beat the San Antonio Spurs, 122-105. Draymond Green was a key piece for Golden State with 17 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds. Golden State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.577) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.4 (above their season average of 21.8). San Antonio was 0.484 and 25.0, respectively, for those same stats.
The high-powered offense of Golden State (first in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 114.0) will battle against the porous defense of Phoenix (30th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 110.9). The Warriors should have the edge on that end of the court.
Of Phoenix’s 57 games, 28 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Golden State’s 56 games have finished over the projected point total. The Warriors have the substantial advantage straight up (SU) (43-13 vs. 18-39), but the Suns have been better against the spread (ATS) (26-29-2 vs. 24-30-2).
Jackson has taken his game to another level over the last five games for Phoenix, averaging 18.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game.
This is the first time these teams will meet this year. The Warriors won all four matchups played against each other last season. In the most recent game, Golden State won 120-111. Golden State made 13 of its 30 three pointers (43.3 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.5 vs. 16.7).
Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Suns rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Warriors rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Golden State ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while Phoenix ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
- Golden State ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (45.2).
- On the road, Phoenix is 15-11-1 ATS with 14 overs and 13 unders.
- At home, Golden State is 11-15-2 ATS with 15 overs and 13 unders.
- When allowing under 100 points, Golden State is 11-2 and Phoenix is 6-2.
- The Suns are 14-23 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 40-9.
- The Suns rank 10th in points in the paint per game (45.4) while the Warriors rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.6).
- Golden State averages 20.7 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.8) while the Suns rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
- The Warriors rank 12th in steals per game (8.1) while the Suns rank 28th (6.8).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.5) while Phoenix ranks 25th (21.1).
Betting Trends:
- Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Warriors average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, down from 7.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 98.8 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.6 points per game (9.0 above their season average).
