Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction

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The Phoenix Suns (4-14) will travel to Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (9-7). The Suns opened as 8.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Arizona Plus at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Pistons (3.5-point underdogs) defeated the Houston Rockets 116-111, while the Suns (13.5-point underdog) beat the Milwaukee Bucks 116-114. The Detroit game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5, while the Phoenix game went 2.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5.

The Suns had a superb turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 15.4) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.550 (above their season average of 0.523). Meanwhile, Detroit played a flawless game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.330 (above their season average of 0.206) and a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 12.0). For those same stats, Houston was 0.194 and 11.5, respectively. Andre Drummond led the way for Detroit, contributing 23 points, 20 rebounds and five blocks. Devin Booker played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 29 points and seven assists.

The Pistons dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last matchup, Detroit won 115-88. The Pistons’ 7.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Suns, who had a mark of 16.1. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Suns are involved, as 55.6 percent of their games have finished under the total. Phoenix holds records of 4-14 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Phoenix, games including the Pistons have a tendency to go over the projected point total (56.3 percent). Additionally, Detroit is 9-7 SU and 9-7 ATS.

T.J. Warren has been playing at a high level as of late for Phoenix, averaging 23 points,1.2 steals over the last five games.

It will be a matchup of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Pistons (ranked ninth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more methodical Suns (19th in possessions per game). Additionally, second chance points figure to be few and far between for the Suns. They rank 28th in the league in offensive rebounding percentage at 17.7 percent, while the Pistons are second-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 80.2 percent).

Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons Betting Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 4 in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while the Pistons rank 6 (29.4375).
  • Detroit ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while Phoenix ranks 29th (18.4).
  • The Pistons rank seventh in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Suns rank 27th (39.7).
  • Detroit ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (49.3) while Phoenix ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (54.7).
  • Detroit ranks 11 in assists allowed per game (23.3125) while Phoenix ranks 28 (25.444444444444443).
  • The Pistons rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Suns rank 26th (20.9).
  • The Pistons rank 9 in steals allowed per game (7.375) while the Suns rank 26 (9.722222222222221).
  • Detroit ranks 24 in blocks per game (3.875) while Phoenix ranks 25 (3.8333333333333335).
  • Detroit ranks third in second chance points per game (16.3) while Phoenix ranks 27th (9.5).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Phoenix and Detroit are both 1-0.
  • The Pistons are 9-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 4-8.
  • Detroit is 3-5 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-6 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Pistons’ 8 home games, while 5 of the Suns’ 9 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pistons are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Detroit has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
  • The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 9.8 for the season.