The Phoenix Suns (20-30) will travel to Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (18-34). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds
Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last game. The Suns (2-point underdogs) were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 119-97, while the Pistons (8.5-point underdogs) fell to the Memphis Grizzlies, 96-82. The Phoenix game went 9 points under the projected point total of 225, while the Detroit game finished 45.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.
Phoenix had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.2 (above their season average of 21.8) while Detroit had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 22.4). Detroit received a boost from Andre Drummond, who had 25 points and 18 rebounds. Deandre Ayton, meanwhile had a good outing for Phoenix, recording 25 points, 17 rebounds and five assists.
The Pistons dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent contest, Detroit won 118-98. Detroit had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.4 vs. 20.6). Phoenix, on the other hand, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (21-26; 80.8 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 26 overs compared to 24 unders. Phoenix heads into the contest with records of 20-30 straight up (SU) and 24-25-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Pistons are involved, as 32 of their 50 games have gone over the total. Additionally, Detroit owns records of 18-34 SU and 18-32-2 ATS.
This could end up being a sloppy game for the offense of Detroit. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (14.7 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pistons are second in the league with 30.0 three pointers allowed per game while the Suns are fifth with 31.7 three pointers allowed per game.
- Phoenix ranks second in assists per game (26.9) while Detroit ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.8).
- The Pistons rank 17th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Suns rank 28th (3.9).
- Phoenix ranks 13th in steals per game (7.8) while Detroit ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Phoenix ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while Detroit ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.0).
- The Suns average 18.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Pistons rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
- The Suns rank 21st in rebounds per game (43.7) while the Pistons rank 27th (42.5).
- Detroit averages 49.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
- Phoenix is 6-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Detroit is 4-1.
- The Suns are 19-24 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 17-24.
- Detroit is 10-17 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 14-10 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 19 of the Pistons’ 27 home games, while 13 of the Suns’ 24 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Phoenix and Detroit are both 1-4 ATS.
- The Suns have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pistons have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
- The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.4, up from 2.5 for the season.
