The Phoenix Suns (10-32) will travel to the American Airlines Center to meet the Dallas Mavericks (18-22). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 9, 2019.
Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
The Suns beat the Sacramento Kings in their last matchup, 115-111, covering as 1.5-point favorites. The Mavericks, meanwhile, were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 107-97, and were unable to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Phoenix game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5, while the Dallas game went 18 points under the projected point total of 222.
Phoenix’s 16.5 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Sacramento, who had a mark of 21.2. The Suns’ mark was worse than their season average of 14.0, while the Kings’ was above their season average of 11.3. Dallas, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8 (above their season average of 23.5). Luka Doncic played well for Dallas with 27 points and eight rebounds. Phoenix was led by Kelly Oubre Jr., who had 26 points and five rebounds.
In their two matchups this year, the Suns have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 188 points, well under the projected point total of 210. Phoenix won 99-89, covering as a 6-point underdog. Phoenix had a much better turnover percentage (11.5 vs. 19.9). Dallas, meanwhile, had a much better free throw rate (0.282 vs. 0.163). T.J. Warren scored a game-high 30 points.
Games involving the Suns have a slight tendency to finish under the total (53.7 percent). Phoenix holds records of 10-32 straight up (SU) and 17-24 against the spread (ATS).
There does not appear to be a trend for Mavericks games in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Dallas is 18-22 SU and 24-16 ATS.
The physical Dallas offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Mavericks currently rank third in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.235, while Phoenix ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.235).
Suns vs. Mavericks Free Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 20th in assists allowed per game (24.6) while the Suns rank 25th (25.6).
- Phoenix averages 9.2 steals per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Dallas ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
- The Suns average 13.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Mavericks rank last in fast break points allowed per game (17.0).
- Dallas ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.3) while Phoenix ranks 29th (52.9).
- Dallas ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0) while Phoenix ranks 28th (20.1).
- The Mavericks rank 10th in rebounds per game (46.1) while the Suns rank 29th (40.3).
- The Mavericks rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Suns rank 27th (11.3).
- Phoenix ranks 21st in blocks per game (4.8) while Dallas ranks 25th (4.4).
- Dallas ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.3) while Phoenix ranks 22nd (29.2).
- Dallas is 5-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Phoenix is 3-1.
- The Suns are 9-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 18-18.
- Phoenix is 8-11 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 14-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 10 of the Suns’ 19 road games, while 10 of the Mavericks’ 19 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 4 unders and 1 push, while Phoenix has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (7.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 8.5 for the season.
