Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 01/14/20

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The Atlanta Hawks (8-32) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they challenge the Phoenix Suns (16-23). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.

Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Suns (8.5-point favorites) beat the Charlotte Hornets, 100-92, while the Hawks (9-point underdogs) were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 108-86. The Phoenix game went 25 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Atlanta game finished 31.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.

The Suns, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.9, had a great mark of 29.3 and held the Hornets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.465 (below the 0.542 mark opponents have averaged against Phoenix this season). Atlanta, meanwhile, forced Brooklyn into a turnover percentage of 21.1 (above their season average of 12.9). Cam Reddish played well for Atlanta with 20 points and five steals. Kelly Oubre Jr. had a solid performance for Phoenix, contributing 25 points and 15 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Oubre Jr. led the Suns to a 128-112 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points. Phoenix covered as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 240 points, which was over the projected point total of 229.5. Phoenix was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Suns made 31 of their 38 free throws (81.6 percent), while the Hawks were 24-30 (80.0 percent).

Of the Suns’ 39 games, 21 have finished over the projected point total. Phoenix holds records of 16-23 straight up (SU) and 20-18-1 against the spread (ATS).

Hawks games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Atlanta owns records of 8-32 SU and 17-23 ATS.

This could end up being an error-filled game for the offense of Atlanta. Atlanta ranks 29th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.2 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (14.9 percent).

Suns vs. Hawks Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while the Hawks rank 27th (47.7).
  • Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while Atlanta ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
  • The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.8) while the Hawks rank 20th (23.0).
  • Atlanta ranks 11th in blocks per game (5.1) while Phoenix ranks 28th (3.7).
  • Phoenix ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Atlanta ranks 19th (14.3).
  • The Suns rank ninth in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while the Hawks rank 28th (14.9).
  • The Suns rank 14th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hawks rank 29th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
  • Phoenix averages 48.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.4).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Atlanta is 3-0 and Phoenix is 4-2.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Suns are 15-19 and the Hawks are 8-25.
  • Atlanta is 10-8 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 10-6 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 9 of the Suns’ 16 road games, while 11 of the Hawks’ 18 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Phoenix has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.4, down from 10.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (6.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (7.4 below their season average).