The Phoenix Suns (11-20) head to Golden 1 Center to go head-to-head against the Sacramento Kings (12-19). Both teams will will attempt to snap their losing streaks. The Suns have lost eight games in a row, while the Kings are on a five-game skid. Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019, and can be seen on NBC Sports – California.
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
In their last game, the Kings (7-point favorites) were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 105-104, while the Suns (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 105-96. The Sacramento game went 11 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Phoenix game finished 18 points under the projected point total of 219.
Phoenix had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 20.7) while Sacramento had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 vs. 21.5). Sacramento received a boost from Richaun Holmes, who finished with 20 points and 18 rebounds. Meanwhile, Devin Booker had a solid performance for Phoenix, finishing with 34 points.
The Kings evened the season series at one with a 120-116 victory in their most recent contest. Booker was a top player in the game with 30 points, eight assists and five rebounds. Sacramento was lights out from beyond the arc (13-31; 41.9 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 16.7). The two teams combined to put up 236 points, which was well over the projected point total of 219.5, and Sacramento covered as a 3-point favorite.
Oddsmakers are known to place the total low when the Suns are involved, as 18 of their 30 contests have finished over the projected point total. Phoenix comes into the contest with records of 11-20 straight up (SU) and 16-13-1 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Phoenix, Kings games have a tendency to finish under the total (61.3 percent). Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 12-19 SU and 16-15 ATS.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Sacramento. Sacramento ranks 20th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix forces the second-most turnovers in the league (15.4 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while the Suns rank 14th (45.5).
- Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.2) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (22.3).
- The Kings rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while the Suns rank 15th (12.9).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while Phoenix ranks 12th (12.6).
- Phoenix ranks third in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Sacramento ranks 13th (17.5).
- The Suns rank eighth in points in the paint per game (48.5) while the Kings rank 28th (43.2).
- The Suns rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while the Kings rank 14th (33.5).
- Phoenix averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Sacramento ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Sacramento ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (5.7).
- Sacramento is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 2-2.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Suns are 11-16 and the Kings are 11-13.
- Phoenix is 7-5 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 5-8 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 7 of the Suns’ 12 road games, while 9 of the Kings’ 13 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Phoenix and Sacramento have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Suns are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 0-5.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (6.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 2.9 for the season.
