The Memphis Grizzlies (1-3) will be 1.5-point underdogs at home in FedExForum when they clash against the Phoenix Suns (3-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 2, 2019.
Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds
The Suns were victorious over the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 121-110, despite being 5.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, were blown out by the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-91, and failed to cover as 12-point underdogs. The Phoenix game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 231.5, while the Memphis game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 220.
Phoenix played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 17.5) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.536 (above their season average of 0.524). Golden State was 15.4 and 0.488, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.8 vs. 23.3). Jonas Valanciunas put together a good outing for Memphis with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Phoenix was led by Aron Baynes, who put up 24 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.
The Grizzlies edged out the Suns in this series last year, emerging victorious in two out of three games. In the most recent matchup, Memphis won 120-115. The Grizzlies’ 9.4 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Suns, who had a rate of 17.3.
The Suns are 22-65 straight up (SU) and 42-43-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Just over half of Phoenix games have finished under the O/U total since last season.
Meanwhile, the Grizzlies, have records of 34-52 SU and 36-47-3 ATS since last season. Just over half of Memphis’ games have finished under the O/U total over that same time frame.
This could end up being a mistake-prone game for the Memphis offense. Since last season, Memphis ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.5 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix has forced the third-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent).
Suns at Grizzlies Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Suns rank third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while the Grizzlies rank 16th (32.2).
- Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while Phoenix ranks last (52.4).
- The Suns rank eighth in fast break points per game (15.3) while the Grizzlies rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- Memphis ranks 12th in points off turnovers (17.0 per game) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed (19.4 per game).
- Memphis ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.5) while Phoenix ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- The Grizzlies rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while the Suns rank last (15.3).
- The Grizzlies rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (45.0) while the Suns rank 27th (47.0).
- Memphis averages 24.0 assists per game, which ranks 20th in the league. Phoenix ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- Memphis ranks sixth in steals per game (8.4) while Phoenix ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
- Memphis is 15-7 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Phoenix is 6-2.
- The Grizzlies are 25-23 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 21-42.
