Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Preview

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The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in the 2 game of a NL East doubleheader. SportsNet New York will showcase the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds

The Phillies have gone 49-38 SU this year and are 39-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 15.3 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 35-51 SU and 35-49 ATS. They’ve lost 17.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.6 units ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 35-45-4 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-44-4.

Aaron Nola is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Nola (11-2, 2.41 ERA) has recorded 116 strikeouts in 116 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Mets will put the ball in the hands of Corey Oswalt (0-1, 7.94 ERA), who’s got seven strikeouts and three walks as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Oswalt hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 31 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.49 and the bullpens ERA is 4.72.

The New York offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The teams hit .210/.303/.369 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo have led the charge for the Mets hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .280/.328/.479 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Nimmo’s line is .262/.386/.515 with 12 homers, 26 RBIs and 44 runs.

In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.05, along with a K-per-9 of 9.57.

The Phillies offense has slashed .235/.322/.396 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .281/.335/.469 with 15 home runs, 51 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .266/.377/.382 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 61 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 10.9 units and are 24-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only two of New York’s last seven games.
  • New York has posted 16.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.