Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick

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The streaking Chicago Cubs are gunning for their fifth straight win as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Wrigley Field. The game gets underway 8:05 p.m. ET and WGN will televise this NL matchup.,

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Phillies are 31-26 SU and are 26-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 33-23 SU and 28-28 ATS. The team has lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.,

Cubs games have an over/under record of 24-31-1 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-29-4.,

Zach Eflin is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA over seven innings).,

The Cubs are putting the ball in the right hand of Kyle Hendricks (4-4, 3.19 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 14 walks as well as a 1.06 WHIP. Hendricks only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven innings).,

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.59 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.59, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.1.,

Chicago’s hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .298/.371/.394 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.,

The Cubs hitters have been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez. Bryant is hitting .289/.400/.512 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Baez is hitting .270 with 14 homers, 45 RBIs, 35 runs and eight stolen bases.,

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.59, along with a K/9 of 9.29.,

Phillies hitters have slashed .233/.316/.385 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 2.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 1.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).,

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .305/.366/.471 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.264/.373/.412) is up to seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.,

The Phillies have lost 0.3 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 20-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.,

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.,
  • Philadelphia has recorded 15.9 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.6 over its last five.,
  • The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Cubs have won seven of their last eight SU.