The Philadelphia Phillies will head south to take on their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
The Phillies have gone 44-40 SU this year and are 40-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.3 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 50-35 SU and 41-44 ATS. The team has gained 10.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.4 units ATS.
Braves games have an over/under record of 47-33-5 thus far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 40-40-4.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Nola is 6-2 with a 4.22 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.23 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Dallas Keuchel (1-1, 5.06 ERA), who has five strikeouts and three walks, along with a 1.78 WHIP. Keuchel hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 30 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 5.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.62.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .269/.333/.474 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is slashing .312/.399/.592 with 22 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .295/.376/.513 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.51 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.79, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 9.15.
The Phillies offense has slashed .244/.325/.422 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is hitting .284/.339/.429 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Segura is hitting .272/.316/.452 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 6.3 units and are 10-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 4.8 units and are 32-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.
Phillies at Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just one of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .748 this season, including an OPS of .782 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .801 overall and .796 against southpaws.
- Philadelphia has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 17 over their last 10.
