Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this NL showdown.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (-120) as the favorite over San Francisco (+110). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at +125 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -145 for the Giants +1.5 runs.

The Giants are 28-30 SU and 33-24 ATS. They’ve gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Phillies are 31-25 SU and have gone 26-29 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 6.0 units ATS.

Giants games have had an over/under record of 29-26-2 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-27-4.

The right-handed Jake Arrieta is getting the start for Philadelphia. Arrieta is 5-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.84 ERA and five strikeouts across six and one-third innings).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of Dereck Rodriguez (0-0, 2.70 ERA), who’s got four punchouts and one walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.80. Rodriguez did not pitch in the majors last season.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.32 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.58, along with a K/9 of 9.34.

The Phillies offense has slashed .234/.317/.387 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 2.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .306/.368/.476 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .264 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the home team, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.65, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The teams hit .290/.339/.438 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Giants offense has been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and first baseman Brandon Belt. Crawford is hitting .310/.350/.470 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Belt’s line sits at .307/.403/.547 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs.

The Giants have lost 6.0 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit seven home runs over their last 10 games.