The Philadelphia Phillies are making a road trip to Flushing to take on their divisional rival Mets at Citi Field. The matchup begins at 7:10 p.m. ET and you can watch it on SNY and NSPA.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
Philadelphia (-160) is the favorite over New York (+140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +135 for betting the Phillies +1.5 runs and -145 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 2-1 SU and 2-0 ATS. The team has gained 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Phillies are 1-2 SU and have gone 0-3 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 4.0 units ATS.
Mets games have had an over/under record of two-0 in 2018. Phillies games have gone over two times, gone under zero times and pushed on one occasion.
The Phillies just lost a 15-2 game to the Braves, while the Mets are coming off of a 5-1 loss against the Cardinals.
Ben Lively will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Lively started 15 games last year and finished the season 4-7 overall with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He made three starts against New York in 2017 and compiled a 2-1 record against the Mets with a 2.33 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The Mets will be turning to righty Matt Harvey, who started 18 games last year and finished the season 5-7 overall with a 6.70 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. He recorded two starts against Philadelphia a year ago and registered a 1-1 record with a 5.59 ERA and nine strikeouts.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.60, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 12.1. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.38, a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 11.1. In zero games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of and the bullpen’s ERA is .
The New York hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including per game against divisional foes and 5.3 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .306/.419/.429 over its last five matchups and is 2-1 SU during that span.
Outfielder Yoenis Cespedes and first baseman Adrian Gonzalez have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cespedes is slashing .364/.500/.636 with four hits, four RBIs and two runs scored, and Gonzalez’s line is .429/.600/.571 with three hits and one RBI.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 9.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 6.00 ERA, 1.83 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 7.47, along with a WHIP of 1.83.
The Phillies offense has slashed .216/.322/.373 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-2 SU).
Left fielder Hoskins Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Hoskins has five hits, three RBIs and two runs scored, while Hernandez (.308/.400/.615) is up to four hits and one RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Mets went 12-7 SU against the Phillies last season.
- The Phillies’ bullpen posted 4.01 ERA against the Mets last year.
