The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in the 1 game of their NL East doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
Philadelphia (-125) is the favorite against New York (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at eight runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+120) and Mets +1.5 runs (-140).
The Mets are just 35-51 straight up (SU) and 35-49 against the spread (ATS). The teams lost 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.6 units (ATS). The Phillies are 49-38 SU and have gone 39-47 ATS. In total, the teams gained 12.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 15.3 units ATS.
New York games have had an over/under record of 35-45-4 so far in 2018. The Phillies have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-44-4.
The right-handed Zach Eflin is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Eflin is 7-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 63 strikeouts. This is his first start against New York this year. He made two starts against the Mets in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record against them with a 4.35 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Mets are planning to start righty Zack Wheeler (2-6, 4.36 ERA), who’s got 91 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Wheeler made three starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 2.51 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 9.57.
The Phillies offense has slashed .235/.322/.396 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .281/.335/.469 with 15 home runs, 51 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Hernandez (.266/.377/.382) has produced eight homers, 28 RBIs, 61 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 31 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.49 and the bullpens ERA is 4.72.
The New York hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .210/.303/.369 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo have led the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .280/.328/.479 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and Nimmo’s line is .262/.386/.515 with 12 homers, 26 RBIs and 44 runs.
The Phillies have gained 11.8 units and are 30-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 10.9 units and are 24-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 25 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in only two of New York’s last seven games.
- Philadelphia has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
