The Philadelphia Phillies will head west to Dodger Stadium to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. NBC Sports Philadelphia will showcase this NL matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Los Angeles (-130) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+120). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds sit at -175 for betting the Phillies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Dodgers are 24-28 SU and 20-31 ATS. They’ve lost 23.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.6 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies are 29-21 SU and have gone 23-26 ATS. In total, the teams gained 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 4.4 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 25-25-1 thus far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 21-25-3.
The right-handed Vince Velasquez is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez is 4-5 with a 4.18 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Dodgers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Brock Stewart (0-0, 3.72 ERA), who’s got six punchouts and four walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Stewart did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
As a unit, Los Angeles pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 3.26, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
Los Angeles offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .232/.310/.430 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Dodgers offense has been led by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor. Kemp is slashing .333/.365/.522 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Taylor’s line is .248/.338/.450 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 36 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .288/.354/.496, Taylor did not do very well against right-handed pitchers at home last year, producing .236/.295/.416 across 193 plate appearances.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.49, along with a K/9 of 9.05.
The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.323/.394 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .331/.396/.519 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.263/.371/.411) is up to six homers, 17 RBIs, 35 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 2.0 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 22.3 units and are 11-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 11 that went under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.
- Philadelphia has recorded 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 15 over their last 10.
