- The under has hit in just one of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Philadelphia defense has allowed 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Washington over its last 10.
- The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
The Philadelphia Phillies will pay a visit to Nationals Park to face off against their division nemesis Washington Nationals. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds
Vegas has listed Philadelphia (+135) as the underdog to Washington (-145). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. Runline odds sit at -160 for taking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +140 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Phillies are 68-56 SU and are 61-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 10.3 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 62-63 SU and 60-65 ATS. They’ve lost 25.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units ATS.
Washington games have an over/under record of 54-68-3 in 2018. The Phillies have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-66-5.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez is 8-9 with a 4.13 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (8-12, 4.13 ERA), who has 126 strikeouts and 48 walks as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Roark is 0-3 with 21 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA across three starts against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.84 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.92, along with a K-per-9 of 9.24.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.394 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .268/.320/.441 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez (.260/.367/.365) has produced 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 77 runs and 16 steals.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 52 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.299/.397 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .266/.334/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 75 runs and 32 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .292/.350/.499 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs.
The Phillies have gained 9.8 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 52 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.9 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 50 that went under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
