Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will play their division rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds

Philadelphia (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-175) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Phillies have gone 68-57 SU this year and are 61-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 10.3 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 63-63 SU and 60-65 ATS. They’ve lost 25.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS.

Washington games have a 54-68-3 over/under record in 2018. Philadelphia has also been a good under bet with a total record of 53-66-5.

Zach Eflin will get the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Eflin (9-4, 3.70 ERA) has recorded 91 strikeouts in 97.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Stephen Strasburg (6-7, 3.90 ERA), who has 101 strikeouts and 21 walks this season as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Strasburg has yet to face the Phillies this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, posting a spotless 2-0 record with a 1.63 ERA and 31 strikeouts.

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 53 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.

Washington’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .278/.333/.456 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .267/.335/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 76 runs and 32 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line is .293/.353/.500 with 16 homers, 61 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.393 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .266/.320/.438 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez (.257/.365/.362) has produced 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 steals.

The Phillies have gained 9.8 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.9 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in six of Washington’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia fielders have 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for Washington over its last 10.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 14 over their last 10.