The red-hot Toronto Blue Jays are seeking their sixth consecutive win as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Rogers Centre. RSN Sports is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 1:07 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog against Philadelphia (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at +130 for picking the Phillies -1.5 runs and -150 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Phillies are 69-60 SU and have gone 63-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.2 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 11.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 60-69 SU and 55-73 ATS. The team’s lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 27.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Toronto games have a 65-55-8 over/under record in 2018. Philadelphia has been a good under bet with a total record of 55-68-5.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez (8-9, 4.06 ERA) has racked up 136 punchouts in 124 innings so far. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Blue Jays will put the ball in the right hand of Marco Estrada (7-9, 4.88 ERA), who has 87 strikeouts and 36 walks as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Estrada did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.02 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.329/.564 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have paced the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Smoak is hitting .249/.357/.456 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 56 runs scored, and Pillar is batting .255 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.11, along with a K/9 of 9.32.
Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.317/.395 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .261/.367/.368 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 80 runs and 16 steals. Herrera is hitting .268/.322/.445 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 9.2 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 7.3 units and are 37-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Philadelphia has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Toronto has 24 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Philadelphia defense has allowed 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Toronto over its last 10.
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games SU.
