Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. This interleague matchup will get underway at 4:07 p.m. ET and RSN Sports is in line to broadcast the game.

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (-120) as the favorite over Toronto (+110). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +125 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -145 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 59-69 straight up (SU) and 54-73 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 8.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.3 units (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 69-59 SU and have gone 63-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 9.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 65-54-8 in 2018. Philadelphia has been a good under bet with a total record of 55-67-5.

The right-handed Nick Pivetta is getting the start for Philadelphia. Pivetta (7-10, 4.66 ERA) has racked up 158 strikeouts in 129.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the right hand of Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.52 ERA, 1.51 WHIP), who has 67 strikeouts and 45 walks this season. Sanchez hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.317/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera, who have combined to swat 31 home runs. Hernandez is slashing .261/.366/.369 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 80 runs and 16 steals, while Herrera is hitting .266 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.97, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Toronto offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .252/.316/.553 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Smoak is hitting .251/.358/.459 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Pillar’s line sits at .255/.284/.422 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Phillies have gained 9.2 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.2 units and are 36-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 35 which went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Philadelphia has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Toronto has 24 XBH over its last five.
  • The Philadelphia defense has allowed 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Toronto over its last 10.
  • The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.