Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Matchup

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The St. Louis Cardinals are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Busch Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to televise this NL matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Philadelphia (-120) is favored over St. Louis (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +125 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -145 for the Cardinals +1.5.

The Phillies have gone 19-15 SU this year and are 17-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 0.5 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 21-14 SU and 21-13 ATS. The team has gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 18-13-3 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 16-17.

The right-handed Aaron Nola is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Nola is 2-0 with a 5.06 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

The Cardinals are turning to righty Dakota Hudson (2-2, 4.80 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 15 walks, along with a 1.73 WHIP. Hudson did not register a start against the Phillies in 2018.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

St. Louis’ hitters have produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.326/.377 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Cardinals’ hitters this year. DeJong is hitting .336/.405/.606 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is batting .252 with nine homers, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.12 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.18, along with a K/9 of 9.17.

The Phillies offense has slashed .248/.336/.422 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .293/.353/.423 with 36 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .281/.412/.612 with 34 hits, 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 4.8 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 6.3 units and are 18-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Phillies at Cardinals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Phillies have a team OPS of .758 this season and an OPS of .753 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .784 overall and .814 versus righties.
  • Philadelphia has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.