Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

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The St. Louis Cardinals are set to host the Philadelphia Phillies at Busch Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:15 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will televise this NL matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Phillies +1.5 runs (-170) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+150).

The Cardinals are 21-15 straight up (SU) and 22-13 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 20-15 SU this year and are 17-17 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 0.1 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, but have lost 1.4 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 18-14-3 thus far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 16-18.

Jerad Eickhoff will get the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Eickhoff is 1-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cardinals are countering with Jack Flaherty (3-2, 4.17 ERA). Flaherty has 45 punchouts and 10 walks, along with a 1.25 WHIP. Flaherty only made one start against the Phillies in 2018 (1-0, 1.17 ERA and 13 strikeouts across 7.2 innings).

St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.44, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.

St. Louis’ offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .221/.306/.374 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Paul DeJong and right fielder Jose Martinez have led the Cardinals’ offense this year. DeJong is slashing .336/.408/.600 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Martinez is batting .354 with 35 hits, 16 RBIs and 17 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a K-per-9 of 9.32.

Phillies hitters have slashed .250/.338/.426 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hoskins is slashing .302/.425/.651 with 11 home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored. Hernandez (.294/.355/.421) is up to two homers, 11 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 3.9 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 7.3 units and are 19-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

Phillies at Cardinals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Phillies have a total OPS of .763 this season and an OPS of .761 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .803 versus righties.
  • Philadelphia has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.