Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Free Preview

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Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Tuesday night game. This NL matchup will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the action.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Odds

Sportsbooks have Philadelphia (+145) as the underdog to San Diego (-155). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish below 7.5 runs, then bookmakers are putting up -105 odds for the under. Taking the over can return -115 odds. This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-150) and Padres -1.5 (+130).

The Phillies have gone 33-27 SU this year and are 30-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 1.4 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 31-29 SU and 26-33 ATS. The team’s lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

San Diego games have had an over/under record of 27-28-4 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 26-31-2.

Jerad Eickhoff is getting the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Eickhoff is 2-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Paddack (4-3, 2.40 ERA), who has 62 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a 0.82 WHIP. Paddack did not accrue any MLB appearances in 2018.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

The Phillies offense has slashed .242/.326/.411 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Hernandez is hitting .284/.342/.454 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Hoskins (.278/.402/.538) is up to 13 homers, 42 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .191/.278/.363 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .289/.337/.447 with nine home runs, 34 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .251/.340/.423 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 9.0 units and are 22-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 19-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Philadelphia has logged nine extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 13.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 20 over their last 10.
  • The Phillies have a team OPS of .736 this season and an OPS of .724 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .709 overall and .705 versus righties.