Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies will head west to square off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Spectrum SportsNet LA will televise this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Los Angeles (-155) is the favorite over Philadelphia (+145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-150) and Dodgers -1.5 (+130).
The Dodgers are 38-19 straight up (SU) and 27-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Phillies are 33-23 SU and have gone 29-26 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 2.0 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 31-23-2 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 26-28-1.
Jake Arrieta will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Arrieta (5-4, 3.60 ERA) has racked up 59 punchouts in 70 innings so far. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-0 record with a 1.38 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Dodgers will turn to righty Kenta Maeda (6-2, 3.67 ERA), who’s got 56 punchouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Maeda made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record with a 6.23 ERA.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.17 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 9.28.
The Phillies offense has slashed .247/.331/.419 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Hernandez is slashing .299/.356/.475 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Segura has a .307 average with five homers, 23 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.02 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.77 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
Los Angeles’ hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .341/.424/.581 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Dodgers’ offense has been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is slashing .377/.464/.754 with 20 home runs, 52 RBIs, 50 runs and seven stolen bases, and Turner’s line is .306/.392/.446 with six homers, 25 RBIs and 28 runs.
The Phillies have gained 11.1 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 13.5 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 17 which went under the total.
Phillies at Dodgers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 24 XBH over its last five.
- The Dodgers have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Philadelphia fielders have two errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Los Angeles over its last 10.
- The Phillies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .733 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .820 overall and .822 against righties.
