Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies are gunning for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field. The game will start at 8:40 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on either ATRM or NSPA.

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies Odds

Philadelphia (receiving -110) is favored against Colorado (+100) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Rockies +1.5 runs (-155).

The Phillies are 11-6 SU and have gone 8-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 1.9 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 6-12 SU and 7-11 ATS. They’ve lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 6.4 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 6-10-2 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-5.

Zach Eflin is getting the start for the Phils. The right-handed Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 16.88 ERA and three strikeouts over 2.2 innings).

The Rockies are handing the ball to lefty Kyle Freeland (1-3, 5.40 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Freeland did not re a start against the Phillies in 2018.

Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Colorado offense is putting up 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .214/.260/.388 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ batters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story. Arenado is hitting .264/.325/.444 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Story is batting .257 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.86 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.41.

The Phillies offense has slashed .254/.356/.455 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jean Segura and left fielder Andrew McCutchen have led Philadelphia’s offense. Segura is slashing .328/.384/.478 with 22 hits, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored. McCutchen (.266/.413/.516) is up to 17 hits, three homers, eight RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Phillies have lost 0.6 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 5.0 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to five that went under the total.

Phillies at Rockies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • The Phillies have a team OPS of .811 this season and an OPS of .836 against left-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS stands at .614 overall and .625 against southpaws.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.