The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the Chicago Cubs in a Tuesday showdown. This NL matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Phillies have gone 28-19 SU this year and are 23-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.8 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 0.3 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 27-18 SU and 22-22 ATS. The team’s gained 6.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.2 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 23-20-1 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 20-25-1.
The right-handed Zach Eflin is getting the nod for Philadelphia. Eflin is 5-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 45 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Chicago this year. He made two starts against the Cubs in 2018, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 2.84 ERA and six strikeouts.
The Cubs are putting the ball in the left hand of Jose Quintana (4-3, 3.68 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), who’s got 50 strikeouts and 15 walks this season. Quintana made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-0 record in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 2.31 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Chicago hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .267/.347/.471 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs’ offense so far. Baez is slashing .319/.359/.595 with 11 home runs, 31 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Bryant’s line is .263/.392/.545 with 11 homers, 32 RBIs and 36 runs.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 9.07.
The Phillies offense has slashed .244/.332/.408 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .310/.375/.474 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 22 runs scored. Segura is slashing .318/.360/.481 with four homers, 20 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 3.9 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 5.3 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve cashed the under.
Phillies at Cubs MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .740 this season, including an OPS of .747 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .799 overall and .775 against lefties.
- Chicago has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
