Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Free Pick

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The Philadelphia Phillies are preparing to take on the Chicago Cubs in a Wednesday night game. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the first pitch will be at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Phillies have gone 28-20 SU this year and are 24-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.8 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 0.7 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 28-18 SU and 22-23 ATS. The team has gained 5.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.2 units ATS.

Cubs games have had an over/under record of 24-20-1 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 21-25-1.

Cole Irvin will get the nod for Philadelphia. Irvin (2-0, 2.77 ERA) has racked up seven strikeouts in 13 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cubs will be sending lefty Cole Hamels (4-0, 3.13 ERA) to the mound. Hamels has 54 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Hamels did not register a start against the Phillies in 2018.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.34, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Chicago’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .295/.389/.494 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is hitting .323/.362/.597 with 11 home runs, 32 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Bryant’s line is .275/.402/.556 with 11 homers, 32 RBIs and 38 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a K/9 of 8.95.

Phillies hitters have slashed .242/.330/.405 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .309/.372/.469 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 22 runs scored. Segura (.318/.363/.484) has produced four homers, 20 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

The Phillies have lost 3.9 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under against y starters.

Phillies at Cubs Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.