Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 3/15/19

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Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux, and the Philadelphia Flyers will do battle against Mitchell Marner, John Tavares, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in an Eastern Conference tilt. NSP+, TSN4 and TVA will broadcast the matchup, which gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15.

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The Maple Leafs (-185) are currently the favorite over the Flyers (+160) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals. The odds for betting the total stand at -140 money on the over and +120 on the under.

Toronto is 42-28 straight up (SU) and has lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 70 regular season outings, 35 of the team’s games have gone over the total, while 31 have gone under and just four have pushed. The team’s 21-15 SU at home this year.

The Maple Leafs have connected on 22.0 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that places them in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated 14th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 80.8 percent of all penalties.

Averaging 30.0 saves per game with a .920 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (33 wins, 19 losses, and four OT losses) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for Toronto this season. If the Leafs choose to give him the evening off, however, head coach Mike Babcock might turn to Garret Sparks (7-9-9 record, .906 save percentage, 3.04 goals against average).

Over on the other bench, Philadelphia is 34-36 straight up (SU) and has lost 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 70 regular season matches, 37 of its games have gone over the total, while 31 have gone under the total and just one has pushed. The Flyers are 16-18 SU as the visiting team this season.

The Flyers have converted on just 16.7 percent of their power play chances this year, a figure that’s ranked 24th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 25th overall and it’s successfully killed off 78.2 percent of all opponent power plays.

Cam Talbot (.894 save percentage and 3.32 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Philadelphia. Talbot is averaging 25.4 saves per game and owns an 11-22-3 record.

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Picks

NHL Pick: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • Over Toronto’s last ten outings, seven of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 5-2 in those games).
  • The Flyers are 16-13 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 23-20 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 minutes, total.
  • For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their past five matchups.
  • Philadelphia is ranked 15th this season with 9.9 giveaways per game. That figure has trended upward recently, as it’s averaged 11.9 giveaways over its last 10 games and 12.4 giveaways over its last five.
  • Toronto is ranked 24th this season with 11.9 giveaways per game. That figure has regressed recently, as it’s averaged 13.1 giveaways over its last 10 games and 14.6 giveaways over its last five.