The undefeated Milwaukee Bucks (3-0) look to remain unbeaten when they clash with the Philadelphia 76ers (2-2) at Fiserv Forum. The game will air on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
In the 76ers’ last game, they were beaten by the Detroit Pistons, 133-132, but they did cover as 12.5-point underdogs. The 76ers, meanwhile, topped the New York Knicks,124-113, but were unable to cover as 11.5-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game went 47.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Milwaukee game went 10 points over the projected point total of 227.
Milwaukee played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 37.3 and a free throw rate of 0.177. New York was 23.4 and 0.131, respectively, for those same stats. Philadelphia, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (20-28; 71.4 percent). Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game for Milwaukee, finishing with 31 points and 15 rebounds. Philadelphia, meanwhile, was led by Joel Embiid, who had 33 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists.
The aggressive Milwaukee offense could be living from the foul line in this showdown. Dating back to last season, the Bucks rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Philadelphia has been among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 26th-ranked FTA rate of 0.216). It will also be a battle of opposite styles as the fast-breaking 76ers rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Bucks rank 24th.
Since last season, the 76ers are 54-32 straight up (SU) and 50-34-1 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of Philadelphia games have finished over the O/U total since last season.
Meanwhile, the Bucks, are 47-38 SU and 40-51 ATS since last season. Just over half of Milwaukee’s games have finished over the O/U total over that same time frame.
This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The 76ers won the most recent game 130-95. The 76ers’ 9.7 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Bucks, who had a rate of 17.1.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The 76ers rank second in assists per game (27.0) while the Bucks rank 15th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
- Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (47.7) while Milwaukee ranks last (40.2).
- The Bucks rank third in steals per game (8.6) while the 76ers rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Philadelphia ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while Milwaukee ranks 22nd (47.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (30.0) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (25.3).
- The 76ers rank fourth in second chance points per game (13.9) while the Bucks rank last (10.3).
- The Bucks rank fourth in blocks per game (5.6) while the 76ers rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
- Milwaukee is second in the NBA with 10.0 fast break points allowed per game while Philadelphia is fourth with 10.5 fast break points allowed per game.
- Milwaukee ranks third in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while Philadelphia ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Philadelphia is 24-0 and Milwaukee is 19-6.
- When scoring over 100 points, the 76ers are 56-23 and the Bucks are 43-22.
