The Philadelphia 76ers (8-6), 1-point underdogs, will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to clash with the Miami Heat (5-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018.
Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last outing. The Heat (3.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Washington Wizards, 116-110, while the 76ers (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Memphis Grizzlies, 112-106. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Miami game went 2 points over the projected point total of 224, while the Philadelphia game went 6.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5.
Philadelphia had an effective field goal percentage of 0.565 (above their season average of 0.507) while Miami had a better effective field goal percentage (0.511 vs. 0.530). Miami’s Hassan Whiteside had a good game, putting up 15 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Philadelphia received a boost from Ben Simmons, who had 18 points, 14 rebounds and five assists.
The 76ers edged out the Heat in this series last year, taking six out of nine games. In the most recent matchup, Philadelphia won 104-91. Philadelphia made good use of their 36 trips to the charity stripe, making 29 of them (80.6 percent). Miami, meanwhile, was just 13-22 (59.1 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Games involving the 76ers have a tendency to go over the projected point total (57.1 percent). Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 8-6 straight up (SU) and 5-9 against the spread (ATS).
Heat games also have a tendency to go over the projected point total (75.0 percent). Moreover, Miami is 5-7 SU and 5-7 ATS.
Miami might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Philadelphia ranks seventh in defensive efficiency while the Heat rank 20th in offensive efficiency. Moreover, the 76ers are among the NBA’s elite at getting to the line, ranking third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.252). The Heat, meanhwile, rank 21st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.214).
Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers average 16.2 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Heat rank eighth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1).
- Philadelphia averages 6.5 blocks per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Miami ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (6.9).
- The Heat rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (33.3) while the 76ers rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (32.6).
- Miami averages 48.0 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (45.5).
- Miami averages 46.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
- The Heat rank fifth in second chance points per game (16.4) while the 76ers rank 20th (12.4).
- The 76ers rank 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Heat rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.5).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in assists per game (26.3) while Miami ranks 18th (23.0).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 3-0 and Miami is 2-0.
- The Heat are 4-7 when they reach the century mark, while the 76ers are 8-4.
- Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS on the road, while Miami is 3-4 ATS at home.
- The 76ers have 4 overs and 3 unders in 7 road games.
- In 7 home games, the Heat have 5 overs and 2 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Miami are both 2-3 ATS.
- The 76ers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Heat have 4 overs and 1 under,
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (1.1 below their season average).
- The Heat have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Miami has scored an equal number of points as their opponents.
