Philadelphia 76ers vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction 04/01/19

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The Philadelphia 76ers (49-27) will travel to the American Airlines Center to go head-to-head with the Dallas Mavericks (30-46). Action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, April 1, 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Mavericks (6-point underdogs) defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 106-103, while the 76ers (4.5-point favorite) beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 118-109. The Dallas game finished 3.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5, while the Philadelphia game went 3 points under the projected point total of 230.

The 76ers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4, had a solid mark of 31.9 and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.548 (above their season average of 0.533). The Mavericks, meanwhile, held the Thunder to an effective field goal percentage of 0.444 (below their season average of 0.513) and had a better free throw rate (0.184 vs. 0.163). Trey Burke had a solid performance for Dallas with 25 points and eight assists. Ben Simmons, meanwhile led the way for Philadelphia, contributing 20 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists.

In their first matchup this year, Simmons led the 76ers to a 106-100 victory. He recorded a triple-double with 20 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists. Philadelphia was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 206 points, which was well under the projected point total of 227.5. One of Philadelphia’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 33 free throw attempts, while Dallas had 23.

76ers games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 49-27 straight up (SU) and 36-40 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Mavericks also have finished under the total 54.7 percent of the time. Additionally, Dallas is 30-46 SU and 41-32-2 ATS.

The aggressive Dallas offense might be living from the free throw line in this battle. The Mavericks currently rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.219, while Philadelphia ranks 21st in FTA rate allowed (0.206).

76ers at Mavericks Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while the Mavericks rank 28th (14.6).
  • Philadelphia averages 15.0 fast break points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Dallas ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (36.4) while the 76ers rank 19th (30.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.6) while Dallas ranks 19th (44.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks 17th in steals per game (7.5) while Dallas ranks 25th (6.7).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in assists per game (26.9) while the Mavericks rank 23rd (23.0).
  • The 76ers rank 14th in points in the paint per game (49.1) while the Mavericks rank 25th (44.3).
  • Philadelphia averages 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Dallas ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11th in blocks per game (5.2) while Dallas ranks 26th (4.3).
  • Dallas is 11-4 when they allow under 100 points, while Philadelphia is 11-0.
  • The 76ers are 49-21 when they score over 100 points, while the Mavericks are 29-35.
  • Philadelphia is 16-21 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 22-14-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Mavericks’ 37 home games, while 20 of the 76ers’ 37 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Philadelphia has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (2.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (2.0 below their season average).
  • The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 3.2 for the season.