Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 03/23/19

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The Philadelphia 76ers (47-25) and the Atlanta Hawks (25-48) square off at State Farm Arena. The 76ers are an 8-point favorite and will try to continue their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds

The Hawks will look to maintain momentum after edging the Utah Jazz in their last outing, 117-114, as 7.5-point underdogs. The 76ers, meanwhile, beat the Boston Celtics, 118-115, but were unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game went 5 points over the projected point total of 226, while the Philadelphia game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 224.

Philadelphia played a nearly flawless game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.433 (above their season average of 0.243) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.1 (above their season average of 24.3). Boston was 0.135 and 21.3, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s 0.580 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Utah, who had a rate of 0.511. The Hawks’ mark was above their season average of 0.522. Trae Young had a good game for Atlanta, contributing 23 points and 11 assists. Meanwhile, Joel Embiid was a key piece for Philadelphia with 37 points and 22 rebounds.

The Hawks had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 123-121 victory, to even the season series at one. Despite the loss, Ben Simmons put up a triple-double with 23 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds. The Hawks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers. Atlanta had a rate of 44.1, while Philadelphia posted a mark of 27.5. Atlanta covered as an 11-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 244 points, which was over the projected point total of 233.5.

Vegas is highly accurate when predicting totals of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 47-25 straight up (SU) and 34-38 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Hawks’ 73 games, 41 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Atlanta owns records of 25-48 SU and 36-37 ATS.

The physical Philadelphia offense might be living from the charity stripe in this contest. The 76ers rank second in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.246, while Atlanta ranks 28th in FTA rate allowed (0.234).

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers average 15.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. The Hawks rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th (27.1).
  • The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Hawks rank 23rd (5.5).
  • Philadelphia ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while Atlanta ranks 25th (14.2).
  • Atlanta ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (50.9) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.7).
  • The 76ers rank sixth in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while the Hawks rank 29th (34.3).
  • The 76ers average 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 29th in steals allowed per game (10.1).
  • Philadelphia averages 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (45.1).
  • Philadelphia ranks eighth in fast break points per game (15.3) while Atlanta ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (16.6).
  • Atlanta is 3-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 11-0.
  • The 76ers are 47-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Hawks are 24-39.
  • Philadelphia is 15-19 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 15-21 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 20 of the Hawks’ 36 home games, while 18 of the 76ers’ 34 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Philadelphia has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 6.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (1.6 above their season average).