The Miami Heat (38-42) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (50-30) to AmericanAirlines Arena to commence their Eastern Conference schedules. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 9, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Betting Odds
In the 76ers’ last matchup, they comfortably covered the 10.5-point spread against the Chicago Bulls, 116-96. The Heat, on the other hand, were beaten by the Toronto Raptors, 117-109, and were not able to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Philadelphia game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 228, while the Miami game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.
Philadelphia played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4 (below their season average of 24.6) and a free throw rate of 0.170 (matching their season average). Chicago was 13.7 and 0.135, respectively, for those same stats. Miami, on the other hand, held Toronto to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.5 (below their season average of 22.1). Dwyane Wade played well for Miami, contributing 21 points and five assists. Meanwhile, Philadelphia was lifted by Joel Embiid, who finished with 20 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.
In their two matchups this season, the 76ers have won both. The two teams combined to score 208 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 220.5. Philadelphia won 106-102 but was unable to cover as a 6-point favorite. Philadelphia did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (25-35; 71.4 percent). Miami, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.3 vs. 13.3). Tobias Harris recorded a double-double with 23 points and 11 rebounds.
76ers games have finished over the O/U total 50.0 percent of the time. Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 50-30 straight up (SU) and 37-43 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Philadelphia, Heat games have gone over the total 51.2 percent of the time. Additionally, Miami owns records of 38-42 SU and 41-37-2 ATS.
The 76ers’ JJ Redick has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 24 points per game. Meanwhile, Goran Dragic has averaged 18 points,8.0 assists,2.2 steals during that same time frame for the Heat.
The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Heat rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.1 percent), while Philadelphia ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.5 percent). Additionally, the fifth-ranked defense of the 76ers (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.510) will clash against the 21st-ranked offense of the Heat (effective field goal percentage of 0.515).
Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 19th in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while the 76ers rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
- Miami ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Philadelphia ranks 23rd (51.0).
- The 76ers average 14.0 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Heat rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Miami ranks 14th in steals per game (7.7) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (7.8).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.8) while Miami ranks ninth (46.3).
- The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Heat rank last (9.8).
- The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Heat rank 11th (4.8).
- Philadelphia ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while Miami ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.9).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in assists per game (26.9) while Miami ranks 17th (24.3).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 12-0 and Miami is 21-3.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the 76ers are 50-24 and the Heat are 34-23.
- Philadelphia is 17-23 ATS on the road, while Miami is 15-23-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 21 of the 76ers’ 40 road games, while 20 of the Heat’s 40 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Miami are both 2-3 ATS.
- The 76ers have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Heat have 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push
- The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 2.9 points.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (2.5 above their season average).
