Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction 11/17/19

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The Philadelphia 76ers (7-5) travel to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to go head-to-head with the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-7). The 76ers are 7-point favorites and will attempt to snap a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214 points and action gets underway at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 17, 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The 76ers (3.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 127-119, while the Cavaliers (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Miami Heat, 108-97. The Philadelphia game finished 32 points over the projected point total of 214, while the Cleveland game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5.

Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 24.1) while Cleveland held Miami to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.8 (below their season average of 21.0). Kevin Love had a solid performance for Cleveland with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Joel Embiid had a good outing for Philadelphia, contributing 31 points and 12 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Embiid led the 76ers to a 98-97 win. He registered a double-double with 27 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 195 points, which was well under the projected point total of 219, and Philadelphia was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite. The 76ers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Cavaliers. Philadelphia had a rate of 23.4, while Cleveland posted a mark of 20.5.

Of the 76ers’ 12 games, seven have gone over the projected point total. Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Philadelphia, games including the Cavaliers have typically gone under the total (63.6 percent). Further, Cleveland owns records of 4-7 SU and 6-3-2 ATS.

It could be a difficult game for Cleveland on the offensive glass. The Cavaliers are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 19th in offensive rebounding percentage at 22.3 percent. Meanwhile, Philadelphia ranks first in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 83.1 percent. Moreover, the 76ers, who rank 22nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.182), could struggle to get to the line against the Cavaliers, who rank first in opponents’ FTA rate (0.140).

76ers at Cavaliers Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank 21st in fast break points per game (12.1) while the Cavaliers rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
  • Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (20.9) while Cleveland ranks 24th (25.4).
  • The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (9.2) while the Cavaliers rank 18th (13.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.2) while Cleveland ranks 16th (45.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (26.9) while Cleveland ranks 12th (33.0).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (6.8).
  • The Cavaliers average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The 76ers rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • Philadelphia averages 52.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (51.1).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Cleveland is 2-2 and Philadelphia is 3-0.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the 76ers are 6-3 and the Cavaliers are 4-3.
  • Philadelphia is 4-4 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 2-2-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 3 of the Cavaliers’ 5 home games, while 6 of the 76ers’ 8 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Cavaliers are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Cleveland has 4 unders and 1 over, while Philadelphia has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Cavaliers have outscored opponents by an average of 3.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Cleveland has been defeated by an average of 1.8 points.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average).