A seven-game home winning streak is on the line for the Saint Mary’s Gaels (16-10, 7-4 WCC) when they welcome the Pepperdine Waves (12-14, 5-7 WCC) to McKeon Pavilion. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019.
Pepperdine Waves vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels ATS Odds
In their last game, the Gaels defeated the Santa Clara Broncos, 66-55, while the Waves lost to the San Francisco Dons, 89-77.
Saint Mary’s dominated nearly every stat category in the contest. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 38.2 (above their season average of 31.7) and a turnover percentage of 15.5 (worse than their season average of 13.7). For those same stats, Santa Clara was 10.3 and 21.2, respectively. Pepperdine, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of making free throws (12-13; 92.3 percent). Saint Mary’s’ Jordan Ford had a solid performance, recording 23 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Pepperdine was led by Kessler Edwards, who contributed 12 points, seven rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this season, Colbey Ross led the Waves to an 84-77 win. He scored a game-high 29 points. Pepperdine did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-25; 92.0 percent). Saint Mary’s, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 17.1).
The sweet-shooting offense of Saint Mary’s will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Pepperdine. The Gaels currently rank 59th in effective field goal percentage (0.543), while the Waves are 268th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.522). The Gaels should have the advantage on that side of the ball. Also, the Waves, who rank 302nd in offensive rebounding percentage (24.8 percent), will clash against the Gaels, who rank 26th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.8 percent).
Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Saint Mary’s, ATS Winner – Saint Mary’s, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Saint Mary’s ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (29.6) while Pepperdine ranks 204th (36.3).
- The Gaels rank eighth in steals allowed per game (4.6) while the Waves rank 100th (6.2).
- The Gaels rank 36th in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Waves rank 209th (14.7).
- Saint Mary’s ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (17.0) while Pepperdine ranks 176th (22.9).
Bettings Trends:
- The Gaels have been outscored by an average of 5.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Saint Mary’s has defeated opponents by an average of 7.9 points.
- During their last five games, the Waves have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 71.8 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
