The Penn Quakers (19-11, 7-7 Ivy) take on the Harvard Crimson (17-10, 10-4 Ivy) in the Ivy League Conference Tourney at John J. Lee Amphitheater. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 134 points and it will air on ESPNU at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 16, 2019.
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimson ATS Odds
In the Quakers’ last contest, they defeated the Brown Bears, 58-51, covering as 6-point favorites. The Crimson, on the other hand, beat the Columbia Lions in their last matchup,83-81, resulting in a push. The Penn game went 29.5 points under the projected point total of 138.5, while the Harvard game finished 26 points over the projected point total of 138.
The Quakers forced 22 turnovers and held the Bears to an effective field goal percentage of 0.400 (below their season average of 0.513). Harvard, meanwhile, was effective at getting and making free throws. The Crimson made 26 of their 28 free throws (92.9 percent), while the Lions were 17-20 (85.0 percent). Harvard was lifted by Bryce Aiken, who contributed 36 points and five assists. AJ Brodeur fueled Penn with 18 points and seven rebounds.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Quakers games, with 15 unders compared to 14 overs. Penn comes into the game with records of 19-11 straight up (SU) and 16-13 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Crimson are involved, as 57.7 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Harvard owns records of 17-10 SU and 13-12-1 ATS.
Harvard might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the country’s best defenses. Penn currently ranks 50th in defensive efficiency while the Crimson rank 236th in offensive efficiency. Also, the Quakers, who rank 283rd in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), could have a tough time getting put-back points against the Crimson, who rank 13th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.8 percent).
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimson ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Harvard, ATS Winner – Penn, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Harvard ranks 30th in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while Penn ranks 188th (35.8).
- The Quakers rank 35th in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while the Crimson rank 134th (21.9).
- Harvard is 47th in the country with 2.7 blocks allowed per game while Penn is 55th with 2.8 blocks allowed per game.
- The Quakers rank 45th in assists per game (15.3) while the Crimson rank 197th (12.3).
- Penn averages 6.8 steals per game, which ranks 87th in the NCAA. Harvard ranks 215th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
Bettings Trends:
- The Crimson are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Quakers are 4-1.
- In their last five games, Harvard has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Penn has 5 unders.
- During their last five games, the Crimson have scored an average of 71.0 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.0 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
- The Quakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 4.7 for the season.
