The Dartmouth Big Green (11-16, 2-9 Ivy) wrap up their home schedule at Edward Leede Arena against the Penn Quakers (16-11, 4-7 Ivy). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019.
Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last matchup. The Big Green (6-point favorites) were defeated by the Princeton Tigers, 77-76, while the Quakers (7.5-point underdogs) fell to the Harvard Crimson, 59-53. The Dartmouth game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 143, while the Penn game went 31.5 points under the projected point total of 143.5.
Penn held Harvard to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below their season average of 27.4) while Dartmouth held Princeton to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.9 (below their season average of 27.0). Dartmouth was lifted by Aaryn Rai, who finished with 21 points and 12 rebounds. AJ Brodeur played a pivotal role for Penn with 24 points and eight rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Brodeur led the Quakers to an 82-79 victory. He recorded a double-double with 36 points and 11 rebounds. Penn was unable to cover as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 161 points, which was well over the projected point total of 145.5. Penn’s 0.182 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Dartmouth, who had a rate of 0.118.
Quakers games tend to finish over the O/U total (56.0 percent). Penn comes into the contest with records of 16-11 straight up (SU) and 13-12 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Big Green games have finished over the total. Further, Dartmouth is 11-16 SU and 12-10-2 ATS.
Dartmouth could have difficulty getting to the free throw line in this battle. The Big Green rank 323rd in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.185, while Penn ranks 25th in FTA rate allowed (0.178). Additionally, put-back points could be tough to come by for the Quakers. They rank 281st in the country in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2 percent, while the Big Green are 35th-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 75.3 percent).
Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Dartmouth, ATS Winner – Dartmouth, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Penn is 22nd in the country with 10.6 assists allowed per game while Dartmouth is 58th with 11.6 assists allowed per game.
- The Quakers rank 46th in three pointers attempted per game (25.9) while the Big Green rank 80th (24.7).
- Dartmouth ranks 196th in rebounds per game (34.1) while Penn ranks 208th in rebounds allowed per game (36.1).
- Dartmouth is 5-4-1 ATS at home, while Penn is 7-7 ATS on the road.
- The Quakers have 9 unders and 5 overs in 14 road games.
- The Big Green have 6 overs and 4 unders in 10 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Penn and Dartmouth have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Big Green are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Quakers are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Big Green have scored an average of 69.4 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
- The Quakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 4.0 for the season.
