Orlando Magic vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction 03/28/19

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The Orlando Magic (37-38) and the Detroit Pistons (37-37) go head-to-head at Little Caesars Arena. The Magic are a 3.5-point underdog and will try to lengthen their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 206.5 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.

Orlando Magic vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Magic (3.5-point underdogs) beat the Miami Heat, 104-99, while the Pistons (7.5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 95-92. The Orlando game went 2 points under the projected point total of 205, while the Detroit game finished 25.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.

The Magic had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 31.3 (above their season average of 21.3) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.494 vs. 0.477). Detroit, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 5.3 (better than their season average of 11.7). Blake Griffin had a solid performance for Detroit, finishing with 29 points, 15 rebounds and five assists. Nikola Vucevic played a key role for Orlando with 24 points, 16 rebounds and five assists.

The Pistons lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined to score 235 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 208. Detroit won 120-115, covering as a 5-point favorite. Detroit made good use of their 25 trips to the free throw line, converting on 20 of them (80.0 percent). Orlando, meanwhile, was just 7-13 (53.8 percent). Vucevic had a double-double in the loss with 24 points and 13 rebounds.

Of the Magic’s 75 games, 44 have finished under the total. Orlando comes into the contest with records of 37-38 straight up (SU) and 39-33-3 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Pistons also have finished under the total 51.4 percent of the time. Moreover, Detroit is 37-37 SU and 39-34-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Detroit currently ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.4) and Orlando is 28th (100.1). Additionally, the Magic, who rank 24th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.5 percent), could have a tough time getting put-back points against the Pistons, who rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.1 percent).

Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (28.0) while the Magic rank seventh (30.0).
  • Orlando ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.5) while Detroit ranks 27th (3.9).
  • The Magic rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Pistons rank 12th (16.1).
  • Detroit ranks 18th in second chance points per game (13.0) while Orlando ranks 25th (12.3).
  • Detroit ranks 23rd in steals per game (6.9) while Orlando ranks 28th (6.6).
  • The Magic rank 13th in assists per game (25.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (22.7).
  • The Pistons rank 22nd in points in the paint per game (45.3) while the Magic rank 28th (43.0).
  • Detroit ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Orlando ranks ninth (12.7).
  • Detroit ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while Orlando ranks 15th (45.2).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Orlando is 19-3 and Detroit is 12-3.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Magic are 33-18 and the Pistons are 34-23.
  • Orlando is 20-16-2 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 19-16-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 20 of the Pistons’ 36 home games, while 25 of the Magic’s 38 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Orlando and Detroit are both 4-1 ATS.
  • The Magic have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Pistons have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (6.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.6 points per game (5.5 below their season average).
  • The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, up from 0.3 for the season.