The NBA’s top scoring defense will be on the road at Golden 1 Center, when the Orlando Magic (18-21) face off with the Sacramento Kings (15-24). The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 13, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Magic (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Phoenix Suns, 98-94, while the Kings (9-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 127-106. The Orlando game went 25 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Sacramento game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5.
Orlando had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 21.8) while Sacramento had a better effective field goal percentage (0.510 vs. 0.547). De’Aaron Fox played a key role for Sacramento with 19 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Orlando was lifted by Nikola Vucevic, who contributed 18 points and 13 rebounds.
The Kings dominated this series last year, securing victories in both games. In the last game, Sacramento won 111-95. The Kings’ 18.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Magic, who had a rate of 9.4. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Matchups including the Magic tend to go under the O/U total (56.4 percent). Orlando comes into the game with records of 18-21 straight up (SU) and 18-17-4 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Kings also have typically finished under the projected point total (56.4 percent). Further, Sacramento owns records of 15-24 SU and 20-19 ATS.
Sacramento might struggle to score as they battle against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Orlando ranks fifth in defensive efficiency while the Kings rank 21st in offensive efficiency.
Magic at Kings ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while the Magic rank 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.2).
- Orlando ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while Sacramento ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- The Magic rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while the Kings rank 17th (17.4).
- Sacramento ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.4) while Orlando ranks 12th (12.6).
- Sacramento allows the second-fewest second chance points per game (11.6) while Orlando ranks fifth (11.9).
- The Magic rank fifth in blocks per game (6.2) while the Kings rank 23rd (4.4).
- The Magic rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.4) while the Kings rank 11th (46.3).
- Sacramento ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.3) while Orlando ranks 22nd (46.3).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Sacramento is 7-2 and Orlando is 11-4.
- When reaching 100 points, the Magic are 14-9 and the Kings are 14-17.
- Orlando is 9-7-2 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 7-12 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Magic’s 18 road games, while 11 of the Kings’ 19 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Magic are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Orlando has 5 unders, while Sacramento has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 103.8 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 94.0 points per game (9.3 below their season average).
- The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Sacramento has lost by an average of 2.8 points.
