Expect a low-scoring game when the Orlando Magic (6-8) square off against the Indiana Pacers (8-6) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 23, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers ATS Odds
The Pacers dismantled the Brooklyn Nets in their last matchup, 115-86, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Magic, meanwhile, were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 113-97, and were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Indiana game finished 12.5 points under the projected point total of 213.5, while the Orlando game went 4 points over the projected point total of 206.
Indiana dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 29.4 (above their season average of 23.2) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.505 (below their season average of 0.506). For those same stats, Brooklyn put up marks of 7.7 and 0.423, respectively. Orlando, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.198 vs. 0.161). Indiana’s Aaron Holiday had a good game, putting up 24 points, 13 assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Orlando was lifted by Jonathan Isaac, who put up 16 points and 13 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Domantas Sabonis led the Pacers to a 109-102 win. He notched a double-double with 21 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 211 points, which was over the projected point total of 202.5, and Indiana covered as a 5-point underdog. The Pacers’ 25.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Magic, who had a mark of 17.5.
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Magic games, with an even split between overs and unders. Orlando holds records of 6-8 straight up (SU) and 4-8-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Pacers are involved, as 64.3 percent of their games have finished under the O/U total. Further, Indiana owns records of 8-6 SU and 6-6-2 ATS.
The Magic’s Evan Fournier has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 21 points,5.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Holiday has averaged 11 points,4.4 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Pacers.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Indiana currently ranks 23rd in possessions per game (101.8) and Orlando is 30th (99.2). Also, the 25th-ranked offense of the Magic (offensive efficiency of 102.7) will clash against the fifth-ranked defense of the Pacers (defensive efficiency of 101.0).
Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Orlando ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (31.4) while Indiana ranks 29th (26.2).
- The Pacers average 46.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Magic rank 14th in rebounds allowed per game (45.3).
- Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.1) while Orlando ranks seventh (22.8).
- Indiana ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8) while Orlando ranks fifth (16.1).
- The Magic rank third in blocks per game (6.4) while the Pacers rank 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
- The Pacers are second in the NBA with 6.3 steals allowed per game while the Magic are third with 6.4 steals allowed per game.
- Indiana is second in the league with 11.0 fast break points allowed per game while Orlando is fifth with 11.6 fast break points allowed per game.
- Orlando and Indiana are both 4-1 when they allow below 100 points.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Pacers are 8-3 and the Magic are 4-2.
- Orlando is 1-4 ATS on the road, while Indiana is 3-2-2 ATS at home.
- In 5 road games, the Magic have 3 unders and 2 overs.
- In 7 home games, the Pacers have 5 unders and 2 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pacers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over, while Orlando has 5 overs.
- The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 4.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (7.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.8 points per game (7.4 above their season average).
