Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona Wildcats – 11/2/2019 Free Betting Pick

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The Wildcats of Arizona (-6) are set to welcome their Pac-12 counterpart Oregon State Beavers to Arizona Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats

Oregon State is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 6 points in this Pac-12 game. The Beavers are also receiving +185 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are -230. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 70 points. It appears that there should be some solid in-game betting opportunities for this showdown.

Early action has slanted toward both the Beavers and the over. The opening line was initially placed at -7 and the over/under was originally 69.

The Beavers have gained 1.9 units so far and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-4.

The Wildcats have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 3.6 units. The team is 2-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-3.

The Beavers have gone 3-4 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Wildcats are 4-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.

The Beavers enter after a 21-17 victory over California on October 19 in which Jake Luton completed only 18 passes on 34 attempts for 174 yards and two touchdowns. Artavis Pierce (only 80 rushing yards on 23 attempts) led the running attack in the win while Isaiah Hodgins (five receptions, 36 yards, one TD) and Noah Togiai (four catches, 38 yards) handled the receiving duties.

A week ago, Stanford knocked off this Arizona team by a score of 41-31. The Wildcats defense allowed the Cardinal to pass for 312 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 160 yards and two scores. Cameron Scarlett had a good showing, recording 102 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts for Stanford. As a group, the Wildcats collectively completed 24-of-40 passes for 273 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Khalil Tate went 17-for-33 for 205 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions while Grant Gunnell was seven-of-seven for 68 yards and one touchdown. J.J. Taylor (107 rushing yards on 16 attempts) and the signal-caller Tate (103 yards on nine carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Taylor (five receptions, 53 yards) and Tayvian Cunningham (four catches, 61 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Oregon State has run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona has a rush percentage of 52 percent. The Beavers have rushed for 167.3 yards/game (including 120.8 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 12 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Wildcats are putting up 202.5 rush yards per game (139.4 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Beavers should hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has given up just 48 sacks while their D-line logged 15 sacks. The Wildcats offensive line has given up 20 sacks and their defense has recorded only 23 sacks.

The Beavers offense has tallied 243.7 yards per game in the air overall (241.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Wildcats have produced 289.5 pass yards per contest (296 in the Pac-12) and have 19 total pass TDs.

Oregon State appears to possess an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 191.6 yards and throw for 235.3 yards per game. The Arizona defense has allowed 310.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 159.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Beavers have given up an ANY/A of 7.54 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats are yielding an ANY/A of 7.09.

Passing-wise, Luton has put up 1,471 yards on the year. He’s completed 118-of-195 attempts with 16 scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Luton has an 8.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.32 over the last two games.

Grant Gunnell has completed 48-of-70 passes for 596 yards, five TDs and zero INTs for Arizona. His ANY/A sits at 8.83 for the year and 7.11 over his past two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Arizona knocked Oregon State off by three touchdowns 35-14.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona Wildcats NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Oregon State, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Beavers offense has created five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have accounted for 11 such plays.
  • The Oregon State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arizona has given up eight such plays.
  • The Oregon State offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arizona has created 18 such runs.
  • The Beavers defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wildcats have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Oregon State defense has three times as many sacks as Arizona this year (21 versus seven).
  • Oregon State has rushed for 3.4 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 2.5 over its last two.
  • Arizona has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.9 over its past two.
  • In its last three games, Arizona is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Oregon State’s last game was 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 21-17 win over California.
  • Over its last three games, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Arizona’s last game going into it was 54.5. The over cashed in that 41-31 loss to Stanford.