The Oregon State Beavers and UCLA Bruins will go toe-to-toe on the grass at Rose Bowl. The game is scheduled to begin at 9:00 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon State Beavers
In this Saturday Pac-12 game, UCLA has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to spend $300 to win $100 back on the Bruins (-300). The Beavers are getting +220 moneyline odds. Some good live betting possibilities could exist during the contest, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 67.5 points.
Sharp bettors are hammering the Beavers. The line opened at -9, while the game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 67.5.
The Beavers have lost 2.0 units so far and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.
The Bruins have gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 1-4.
The Beavers are 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Bruins are 1-4 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Beavers came up short to Stanford 31-28 in a nailbiter where their defense allowed the Cardinal to run for 100 yards on 31 rush attempts. Cameron Scarlett had a good day for the opposition in that one with 92 rushing yards on 24 attempts. On the offense, Jake Luton completed 27 passes for 337 yards and one touchdown. Artavis Pierce (141 rushing yards on 16 attempts, two TDs) mounted the ground attack in the loss. Isaiah Hodgins (10 receptions, 162 yards, one TD) and Champ Flemings (five catches, 64 yards) shared the receiving duties.
UCLA just lost a 20-17 game to Arizona. The team’s defensive secondary let the Wildcats air it out for 352 yards. Darrius Smith put up a good showing in the win, recording 99 yards on five catches for Arizona. As a group, the Bruins collectively completed 22-of-42 passes for 228 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Dorian Thompson-Robinson went 17-for-33 for 180 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Austin Burton was five-of-nine for 48 yards. Joshua Kelley (127 rushing yards on 27 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Thompson-Robinson (63 yards on nine carries) mounted the ground attack in the defeat as Jaylen Erwin (seven receptions, 63 yards) and Kyle Philips (six catches, 63 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Oregon State has run the ball on 49.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCLA has an overall rush percentage of 52.6 percent. The Beavers have produced 213 rush yards per game and have nine scores via handoffs this year. The Bruins are averaging 120.2 rushing yards per game (183.5 in conference) and have four total rush TDs.
It appears that the Beavers could hold an edge in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded just 48 sacks while the D-line registered 15 sacks. The Bruins, on the other hand, have allowed 32 sacks and their defense has recorded only 15 sacks.
The Beavers offensive scheme has logged 269.5 yards/game through the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Bruins have recorded 258.2 pass yards per contest (368 in the Pac-12) and have 11 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Oregon State seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 180.5 rush yards and 247.3 pass yards per game. The UCLA defense has given up 351.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 162.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Beavers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.84 to opposing QBs, while the Bruins have given up a staggering 9.79 ANY/A.
Luton likely has the advantage over Thompson-Robinson in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.87for the year and 10.22 over the last two outings. Thompson-Robinson’s ANY/A is 4.11 for the year and 9.58 across his past two games.
These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.
Oregon State Beavers at UCLA Bruins Free Pick
SU Winner: UCLA, ATS Winner: UCLA, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Oregon State’s previous game was 56. The over cashed in the team’s 31-28 loss to Stanford.
- Oregon State, as a team, has averaged 6.3 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
- UCLA has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.6 over its last two.
- The UCLA offense has lost four fumbles this season while Oregon State has not lost any.
- Over its last three contests, Oregon State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for UCLA’s last outing was set at 68.5. The under cashed in the 20-17 defeat to Arizona.
- In its last three matches, UCLA is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Both passing attacks have produced three pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Beavers have have made three pass plays of 30+ yards while the Bruins have created eight such plays.
- The Oregon State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UCLA has given up five such plays.
- The Oregon State offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while UCLA has created three such runs.
- The Beavers defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bruins have given up six such runs.
- The Oregon State defense has nine sacks on the year while UCLA has eight.
